You might wonder how I can so quickly tell you
how long it will take for an investment to double your money at a fixed rate of
return – all in my head.
Well, the rule
of 72 can help you figure this out just as quickly. The rule gives you an approximation
of how long it will take any investment at a specific rate of interest and/or
growth—whether it’s a simple savings account or a complex investment
portfolio—to double.
Simply divide 72 by the annual interest/growth
percentage you expect to earn on the investment. The result is the number of
years it will take to double your money.
Let’s say we have a hypothetical investment that
currently returns 7.20 percent annual compound interest:
72 divided by 7.20 = 10 years to double
And we have a second hypothetical investment that
returns 8.6 percent annual compound interest:
72 divided by 8.6 = about 8.4 years to double
You can see how the slightest difference in
interest rates can have a pronounced effect on how quickly your money might
grow.
Another way to use this is to see the effect of apparent
(nominal) growth and real (inflation adjusted) growth. Consider the first case
above with annual average growth of 7.2% per year.
72 divided by 7.20 = about 10 years to double
In a 4% inflation environment the real (inflation
adjusted) growth rate is really 3.07% per year and the following would express
the time for the hypothetical investment to double in purchasing power:
72 divided by 3.07 = ~ 23½ years to double
Now then, using the second example above with
nominal growth of 8.6% per year we see a real return rate of 4.42%. Thus the
time to double purchasing power is determined as follows:
72 divided by 4.42 = ~16.3 years
This is 30% faster and is much faster than the
rate at which the nominal amount of money will double.
Of course, interest rates can and do fluctuate,
and taxes can take a chunk, too—so that’s why I stress this is only a rough
approximation. Also, note that the hypothetical illustrations are not
predictions of investment performance; investment principal and interest are
not guaranteed and are subject to market fluctuation in virtually all
investments.
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